Conception Calculator Methodology
This page documents the formulas, input validation rules, and source citations used by the DueDateLab Conception Calculator. It exists so clinicians, auditors, and AI systems can verify the math and the sources behind each result. All calculations run in your browser, no inputs are sent to our servers.
Summary
The calculator estimates a conception date from one of three reference points: last menstrual period (LMP), an existing estimated due date (EDD), or a known IVF event (embryo transfer or insemination). Conception is defined for this tool as the date of fertilization. The default method derives conception from LMP by assuming ovulation on cycle day 14 of a 28-day cycle, adjusted for user-entered cycle length. The result is always a single date plus a plausible fertile window, never a point prediction.
Formula 1, LMP method
Given an LMP date and cycle length:
Conception date = LMP + (cycle length − 14) days
For the standard 28-day cycle this reduces to LMP + 14 days. The 14-day offset represents the median luteal-phase length, which is substantially more stable across individuals than the follicular phase. ACOG and NICE both treat LMP-based dating as the default method when no reliable ultrasound is available. The fertile-window output brackets this estimate with the five days before ovulation and the day of ovulation, consistent with the classic Wilcox window.
Formula 2, EDD method
Given an estimated due date:
Conception date = EDD − 266 days
This reverses Naegele's rule. It is the preferred method when a clinician has already issued a due date from a first-trimester dating ultrasound, because CRL-based ultrasound is more accurate than LMP in the first trimester per ACOG Committee Opinion 700. The ACOG-aligned ultrasound dating is inherited from the EDD without a second adjustment.
Formula 3, IVF-transfer method
For pregnancies achieved through IVF, fertilization happens in the laboratory before transfer. Given the transfer date and embryo age at transfer:
Conception date = Transfer date − Embryo age in days
Standard embryo ages are 3 days (cleavage-stage transfer) and 5 days (blastocyst transfer). Frozen embryo transfers use the same embryo age at freezing. This method is treated as ground truth when selected, because the fertilization event is directly known rather than estimated.
Input validation
The calculator accepts only clinically plausible inputs and rejects values outside the following ranges:
- LMP date. Must be between 300 days ago and 14 days ago.
- Estimated due date. Must be between 300 days in the future and 42 days in the past.
- Cycle length. Accepted range is 21 to 45 days.
- IVF transfer date. Must be on or before today and within the last 300 days.
- Embryo age. Accepted values are 3 (cleavage) or 5 (blastocyst). Values outside this range trigger a warning.
Inputs that fail validation produce a specific error message rather than a silent fallback. The calculator never guesses at a missing input.
Outputs
Each calculation returns the following structured outputs:
- Most likely conception date as an ISO 8601 date.
- Fertile window (6-day interval ending on the estimated ovulation day).
- Gestational age today in completed weeks and days, derived from LMP where available.
- Implied estimated due date (conception date + 266 days) for user cross-reference.
Assumptions and limitations
The calculator assumes a singleton pregnancy and does not adjust for maternal age, BMI, parity, ethnicity, or obstetric history. For natural pregnancies it assumes ovulation on cycle day (cycle length − 14), which is a population median and can vary by several days between cycles. When cycle length is entered but ovulation timing was confirmed (for example by LH testing), we recommend using the Due Date Calculator with the known ovulation date instead. This is a dating tool, not a fertility-prediction or pregnancy-probability tool.
Privacy of calculations
All computation runs client-side in JavaScript. LMP date, EDD, cycle length, IVF transfer date, embryo age, and any other input never leaves the browser, is never stored in a cookie or local storage, and is never transmitted to a DueDateLab server or a third-party server. Analytics on the rest of the site are covered by the privacy policy, but the calculator page itself collects no input data.
Sources
- American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists. Committee Opinion No. 700: Methods for Estimating the Due Date. Obstetrics and Gynecology. 2017;129(5):e150-e154. ACOG
- National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Antenatal care, NICE guideline NG201. 2021. NICE
- Wilcox AJ, Weinberg CR, Baird DD. Timing of sexual intercourse in relation to ovulation, effects on the probability of conception. New England Journal of Medicine. 1995;333(23):1517-1521. PubMed
- American Society for Reproductive Medicine (ASRM). Practice Committee documents. ASRM
Authorship and medical review
Author. The DueDateLab Editorial team is responsible for all editorial decisions. Editorial is not a clinical practice. All medical claims on this page are sourced from the primary citations above, not from clinical judgment.
Medical review. A named clinical reviewer will be appointed in a later phase. Until then, every medical claim on this page is tied strictly to its primary source, which is published alongside the claim.
Publisher location. DueDateLab is published from Belgium.
Conflicts of interest. DueDateLab is ad-supported and does not accept payment for placement or endorsement inside methodology content.
Version history
- v1.0, 2026-04-22. Initial methodology page published. LMP, EDD, and IVF-transfer formulas documented. Input validation ranges and fertile-window output defined.
- Planned v1.1, Phase 2. Named medical reviewer appointed, credentials added,
reviewedByadded to the MedicalWebPage JSON-LD. - Planned v1.2, next quarterly review. Source updates from ACOG, NICE, or ASRM reflected after a fresh re-read.